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IPL 2025 Playoffs Scenarios For Qualifier 1 And Eliminator Explained After PBKS vs DC

Jatin

IPL 2025 Qualification scenarios explained [Source: @iplt20.com]IPL 2025 Qualification scenarios explained [Source: @iplt20.com]

They say the beauty of the IPL lies in its unpredictability and Match 66 in Jaipur was proof of that. With nothing to lose and everything to prove, Delhi Capitals turned up the heat and stunned Punjab Kings with a 6-wicket win and just like that, the playoff picture has been tossed into complete chaos.

With just a game left for each team, here’s how the points table looks:

  • Gujarat Titans:18 points (1 match left)
  • Punjab Kings: 17 points (1 match left)
  • RCB: 17 points (1 match left)
  • Mumbai Indians: 16 points (1 match left)

Now, the final three league matches are basically mini quarter-finals. Here's how each team’s qualification road shapes up with every possible twist in the tale.

Gujarat Titans

Next match: vs CSK in Ahmedabad (Match 67)

Gujarat Titans are still top of the tree with 18 points and a healthy NRR of +0.602. One more win and they are straight into Qualifier 1 as table-toppers. Lose to CSK, though, and things get murky.

Scenarios:

If GT win

  • Finish 1st with 20 points. Set to face 2nd place in Qualifier 1.

If GT lose

  • If both RCB & PBKS win, GT can drop to 3rd depending on NRR and go to the Eliminator.
  • If one of RCB or PBKS lose, GT still stay in top two. Basically, Gujarat control their own fate. But they better not slip now.

Punjab Kings

Next match: vs MI in Jaipur (Match 69)

That loss to Delhi has really hurt. Punjab Kings have 17 points with a dented NRR of +0.327. And they are now up against a raging MI team. Lose that game and Punjab will find themselves in the Eliminator,

Scenarios:

If PBKS beat MI

  • Move to 19 points and can still make Qualifier 1, if GT or RCB lose.

If PBKS lose

  • Stay at 17 points.
  • Will be overtaken by MI and will have to end up in the Eliminator.

Royal Challengers Bengaluru

Next match: vs LSG in Lucknow (Match 70)

RCB are tied on points with PBKS (17), but have a slightly lower NRR at +0.255. Their last game against LSG is now a must-win if they want to dream of top-two.

Scenarios:

If RCB win

  • Jump to 19 points.
  • Can finish top two if GT or PBKS lose.

If RCB lose

  • Stay on 17.
  • Will get knocked out of Qualifier 1 if either team between MI or PBKS wins.

Mumbai Indians

Next match: vs PBKS in Jaipur (Match 69)

The five-time champs are sitting at 16 points, but their Net Run Rate is off the charts at +1.292. That means if Mumbai Indians win, they could leapfrog everyone provided the other results swing their way.

Scenarios:

If MI beat PBKS

  • Move to 18 points.
  • Will qualify and even finish in top two if GT or RCB lose.

If MI lose

  • Stuck at 16 and will have to play the Eliminator.

All four teams have everything to play for. Just one win can change your route to the trophy. Lose at the wrong time and the season can go up in smoke.