PBKS vs MI: Who Will Win Today's Qualifier 2 IPL Match?

Probuddha Bhattacharjee

PBKS vs MI, IPL 2025: Winner Prediction For Qualifier 2 [Source: AP Photos]PBKS vs MI, IPL 2025: Winner Prediction For Qualifier 2 [Source: AP Photos]

The IPL 2025 playoffs reach their crescendo with a high-stakes Qualifier 2 between Mumbai Indians and Punjab Kings at the Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad. With Royal Challengers Bengaluru already in the final after their 60-ball victory over PBKS, this clash determines who joins them on June 3.

Match Details: June 1, 2025 | 7:30 PM IST | Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad

IPL 2025 Qualifier 2: Narendra Modi Stadium Ground Analysis

Narendra Modi Stadium has hosted 7 matches in IPL 2025, revealing stark pitch characteristics that could decide Qualifier 2. The numbers are emphatic - teams batting first have dominated with a massive 85.7% success rate (6 wins out of 7), while only 1 successful chase has occurred.

Pitch Behaviour Analysis:

Batting First Success: 6/7 matches (85.7%)}
Successful Chases: 1/7 matches (14.3%)
Average Winning Margin: 43 Runs
Close Games: Only 1 match decided by under 20 runs

Toss Impact: Winning captain almost certain to bat first. Chasing at this venue in IPL 2025 has been extremely challenging.

Game-Changing Momentum Shifters: IPL 2025 Qualifier 2 

Suryakumar Yadav's Tournament Dominance

IPL 2025 Stats: 673 runs at 167.83 SR
Threshold: 50+ runs at 150+ strike rate
Impact: +45% swing toward Mumbai Indians

SKY leads IPL 2025's run charts for the Mumbai Indians. In pressure situations, his strike rate jumps to 180+, making him a key cog in MI's chances for this game.

Punjab's Powerplay Supremacy

IPL 2025 Data: PBKS SR 152.7 vs MI's 149.6 in powerplay
Threshold: 60+ runs in first 6 overs
Impact: +35% boost for Punjab Kings

Punjab's opening duo of Prabhsimran Singh and Priyansh Arya have consistently dominated powerplays. Their aggressive approach in the first 6 overs could neutralise MI's bowling advantage.

Death Overs: The Bumrah Factor

IPL 2025 Stats: MI death bowling economy 9.1 vs PBKS' 10.6
Threshold: Restricting to under 12 runs per over in final 4 overs
Impact: +50% surge for Mumbai Indians

Jasprit Bumrah's death bowling has been MI's ace card with superior economy rates. With 37 death-over wickets compared to PBKS's 25, MI holds a decisive advantage in crunch moments.

PBKS vs MI Multi-Scenario Predictions

Most Likely (55%): Tight Contest Decided by Individual Brilliance
Margin: 10-18 runs or 2-3 wickets
Expected Key Moment: SKY vs PBKS bowling or Shreyas vs MI death bowling

High-Scoring Thriller (30%): 190+ Total with Successful Chase
Margin: 4+ wickets with 1-2 overs remaining
Trend: Both teams average 9+ RPO in IPL 2025

Low-Scoring Surprise (15%): Under 320 Combined Runs
Margin: 25+ runs or early collapse
Factor: Venue's slower pitch in evening could assist bowlers

MI vs PBKS IPL 2025 Qualifier 2 Win Probability

Mumbai Indians 58% | Punjab Kings 42%

Why Mumbai Indians Edge - 

  • Individual Peak Performance: SKY's 673 runs trump collective PBKS brilliance
  • Death Bowling Superiority: 1.5 runs per over advantage in IPL 2025
  • Knockout Experience: Fifth-time playoff participants vs PBKS's 11-year gap

Punjab Kings' Enhanced Path - 

  • Recent H2H Confidence: 7-wicket victory vs Mumbai Indians from league stage
  • Chasing Expertise: Proven template at this exact venue

MI vs PBKS IPL 2025 Qualifier 2 OneCricket's Predicted Winner

Mumbai Indians to win the game. Even though PBKS have played well in this tournament, MI's overall strength and current form will see them through.