PBKS vs LSG Match Prediction: Who Will Win Today’s IPL Match?

Probuddha Bhattacharjee

PBKS vs LSG, IPL 2025: Winner Prediction For Match 54 [Source: AP Photos]PBKS vs LSG, IPL 2025: Winner Prediction For Match 54 [Source: AP Photos]

The 58th match of IPL 2025 between Punjab Kings and Lucknow Super Giants at HPCA Stadium features two teams with similar mid-table positions. LSG have 5 wins from 10 matches while PBKS have secured 6 wins in 10 games.

PBKS's dynamic batting lineup features the in-form Shreyas Iyer and aggressive Prabhsimran Singh, complemented by Arshdeep Singh's effective bowling. LSG boasts of Nicholas Pooran's explosive batting and Mitchell Marsh's firepower at the top. Himachal Pradesh Cricket Association Stadium will host this encounter on May 4  at 7:30 PM IST.

PBKS vs LSG Toss Prediction

Analysis of HPCA Stadium's matches shows teams batting first have maintained a 75% win rate in last two years. This significant advantage makes the toss crucial.

First innings and second innings averages demonstrate a clear batting first advantage. The pitch remains batting-friendly throughout, but shows a noticeable pattern - scoring dips slightly in middle overs before accelerating dramatically at death. Given these trends, winning the toss and batting first appears to be the tactically sound choice at HPCA Stadium.

PBKS vs LSG Predicted Score Today

Innings
Predicted Score
Win Probability If Achieved
1st Innings185-195PBKS 62%, LSG 38%
2nd Innings170-18070% win probability for team batting first

PBKS vs LSG Predicted Top Performers

Punjab Kings

Player
Role
Form
Shreyas IyerBatsman⬆️
Arshdeep SinghBowler⬆️
Yuzvendra ChahalBowler⬆️

Lucknow Super Giants

Player
Role
Form
Nicholas PooranBatsman⬆️
Mitchell MarshBatsman⬆️
Shardul ThakurBowler⬆️

PBKS vs LSG Momentum Shifters

Factor
Threshold
Statistical Impact
PBKS's Powerplay Performance55+ runs with 0-1 wickets in first 6 overs+22% win probability for PBKS
LSG's Middle Overs Batting85+ runs in overs 7-16+24% win probability for LSG
PBKS's Death BowlingEconomy under 10.0 in overs 17-20+26% win probability for PBKS
LSG's Nicholas Pooran Impact40+ runs at 175+ strike rate+28% win probability for LSG
PBKS's Backfoot Pull Shot Success30+ runs from pull shots+20% win probability for PBKS
LSG's Right-arm Medium Pacers3+ wickets from medium pacers+25% win probability for LSG

PBKS vs LSG Win Probability

PBKS vs LSG, Win Probability for Match 54 [Source: OneCricket]PBKS vs LSG, Win Probability for Match 54 [Source: OneCricket]

PBKS vs LSG OneCricket's Predicted Winner

Punjab Kings to win this contest, leveraging their home advantage at HPCA Stadium where batting first teams have historically performed well. PBKS's strong batting lineup led by Shreyas Iyer and Prabhsimran Singh should capitalize on the batting-friendly conditions.

While LSG has game-changers in Pooran and Marsh, PBKS's superior bowling attack gives them the edge. The match will likely hinge on the death overs phase where scoring rates peak at this venue.

Expect a high-scoring game with PBKS's bowling depth proving decisive if they can contain LSG's power-hitters in the final overs.