RCB vs PBKS, IPL 2025: Winner Prediction For Final Match [Source: AP Photos]
History beckons as Royal Challengers Bengaluru and Punjab Kings clash in the IPL 2025 final at Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad on June 3. Both franchises chase their maiden IPL crown in what promises to be a thrilling encounter between two evenly matched sides.
RCB vs PBKS Head to Head Record In 2025
The teams split their season encounters 2-1, with PBKS winning at Chinnaswamy Stadium while RCB dominated the reverse fixture. However, RCB won in the Qualifier 2 against PBKS and took the lead in the face-off for the season.
IPL 2025 Final Win Probability Analysis
Using Bayesian theorem incorporating current form, player statistics, and venue factors, Punjab Kings hold a 52% win probability against RCB's 48%. This narrow margin reflects the tournament's most balanced final in recent years.
Key probability factors:
- PBKS advantage: Superior death overs scoring, consistent top-order depth
- RCB advantage: Three previous finals experience, better powerplay bowling economy
- Venue factor: Narendra Modi Stadium's flat track favors aggressive batting
RCB vs PBKS, IPL 2025: Win Probability For Final [Source: OneCricket]
RCB vs PBKS Critical Momentum Shifters
Scenario | Team | Win Probability |
Powerplay 50+ runs | RCB | 73% (+25% boost) |
Powerplay 50+ runs | PBKS | 64% (+12% boost) |
Virat Kohli scores 30+ | RCB | 90% (+42% boost) |
Shreyas Iyer scores 30+ | PBKS | 71% (+19% boost) |
Death overs 45+ runs | RCB | 75% (+27% boost) |
Death overs 45+ runs | PBKS | 71% (+19% boost) |
Josh Hazlewood 2+ wickets | RCB | 71% (+23% boost) |
Prabhsimran Singh 35+ | PBKS | 60% (+8% boost) |
These data-driven insights reveal Kohli's tournament form as the biggest momentum shifter, with RCB boasting a 90% win rate when he scores 30+. PBKS's strength lies in powerplay acceleration and death overs finishing.
IPL 2025 Predicted Final Scores
If batting first: 180-185 range expected
Chasing scenario: 175+ represents a competitive total
PBKS's superior death overs execution gives them slight advantage in posting and chasing big totals. RCB's experience in pressure situations cannot be underestimated.
RCB vs PBKS IPL 2025 Final OneCricket's Prediction
In a contest where margins are razor-thin, Punjab Kings' edge stems from their consistent top-order firepower and improved death overs batting. Shreyas Iyer's captaincy experience in finals, combined with their superior phase-wise statistics, tilts the balance slightly.
Final Verdict: Punjab Kings to win by 12-15 runs or by 3-4 wickets in a high-scoring thriller, finally ending their title drought since the tournament's inception. The team that executes better under pressure in crucial moments will claim IPL glory.