DC vs LSG, Who Win The Match: IPL 2025, Match 4 [Source: @DelhiCapitals, @LucknowIPL/x.com]
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It is time for a highly anticipated clash in the IPL 2025. The Delhi Capitals will be taking on the Lucknow Super Giants in the fourth game of the tournament. The prime USP of the match is the direct swap of star players, Rishabh Pant and KL Rahul between the teams.
The match will take place at the Dr YS Rajasekhara Reddy ACA-VDCA Cricket Stadium im Visakhapatnam. Before the game gets on the way, here is what we can expect from the game.
How Will The Dr YS Rajasekhara Reddy ACA-VDCA Cricket Stadium Pitch Behave In IPL 2025?
The pitch at Vizag has been a batting paradise in recent times, with an impressive average first innings score of 215 runs and second innings score of 154. Teams batting first have dominated, winning 100% of the matches last season, indicating a clear advantage to setting a target rather than chasing. The significant drop in second innings scores suggests the pitch tends to slow down considerably as the match progresses.
DC vs LSG Toss Prediction
The captain winning the toss will likely choose to bat first, bucking the usual IPL trend. Historical data shows that teams batting first at this venue have had an overwhelming advantage, with a 100% win rate. Interestingly, all toss winners who went on to win the match also won the overall game, suggesting the toss could play a crucial role in determining the outcome.
DC vs LSG Predicted Score Today
Innings
Predicted Score
Win Probability If Achieved
1st innings
184-204
DC: 55%, LSG: 45%
2nd innings
129-149
Batting first team: 100%
DC vs LSG Predicted Top Performers
Delhi Capitals
Player
Roles
Axar Patel
All-rounder
Kuldeep Yadav
Bowler
KL Rahul
Top-order Batter
Lucknow Super Giants
Player
Roles
Rishabh Pant
Middle-order batter
Nicholas Pooran
Finisher
Ayush Badoni
Middle-order batter
DC vs LSG Momentum Changers
Factor
Threshold
Impact on Win Probability
Powerplay Score
>60
+15% win probability for batting team
Early Wickets (first 6 overs)
>=3
+20% win probability for bowling team
Big Over in Death (16-20)
>=20 runs
+12% win probability for batting team
Sweet Spot Score (1st innings)
205-225
65% win probability for team batting first
DC vs LSG Phase-Based Advantages
The key phase wise battles that might be important in this game are -
Death overs show the highest run rate (9.05) with a wicket rate of 9.0
Middle overs have seen a similar run rate (9.04) with a wicket rate of 6.29
Powerplay has the lowest run rate (8.42) with a wicket rate of 5.56
DC vs LSG Predicted Game Changers
Player
Team
Key Strength
Impact
Jake Fraser-McGurk
DC
Explosive powerplay batting
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Mukesh Kumar
DC
Death over bowling
⭐⭐⭐
David Miller
LSG
Finishing with the bat
⭐⭐⭐⭐
Ravi Bishnoi
LSG
Middle over bowling
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
DC vs LSG Win Probability
DC vs LSG, Win Probability [Source: OneCricket]
DC vs LSG OneCricket's Predicted Winner
Our comprehensive analysis gives Delhi Capitals a 55% win probability in this encounter. The advantage of batting first at this venue and DC's impressive lineup could prove decisive in what promises to be an exciting match between these IPL contenders. Another factor could be LSG missing some key players due to injuries. With that incorporated, we can say the match is title in DC's favour by 70-30.