Mohammed Siraj and Ben Duckett [Source: AP Photos]
The fifth and final Test of the intriguing series between India and England at The Oval stands perfectly poised for a dramatic conclusion. While England need 324 more runs to win the game, India need eight wickets. Both teams have a very realistic chance of winning the match in what promises to be a series-defining Day 4 of the game.
With England leading the series 2-1, the stakes couldn't be higher. Ollie Pope and his men will be keen to win the match and finish the series with a comprehensive 3-1 win margin. On the other hand, India have the chance to square the series 2-2 and salvage pride from what looked like a lost cause after the first three matches.
Current Match Situation
Team
Position
Target/Requirement
England
50/1 (13.5 overs)
Need 324 more runs
India
224 & 396 (all out)
Need 8 wickets
Key Player
Ben Duckett (34*)
Set batsman
The Chase Challenge
England have been tasked with a target of 374; they have a chance to repeat their heroics from the first game of the series at Leeds, where they chased down 371 runs. In the Bazball era, England have done remarkably while chasing -
11 Tests won by chasing since May 2022
Only 1 failed chase at home (vs Australia at Lord's 2023)
Probably the game hinges much on Ben Duckett, who is currently unbeaten on 34. His knock in the first Test will keep the Indians on their foot, and they will be looking to get rid of him as soon as possible.
Historical Context at The Oval
Successful Chases at The Oval (200+ Runs)
Year
Team
Target
Result
1902
England
263
Won by 1 wicket
1963
West Indies
255
Won by 8 wickets
2024
Sri Lanka
219
Won by 8 wickets
Key Statistics:
Highest successful chase: 263 runs (1902)
Since 2000: Only 1 successful chase over 200 runs
Current target would be 111 runs higher than The Oval record
England's Bazball Credentials
England's Highest Successful Chases (Bazball Era)
Target
Opponent
Venue
Year
Margin
378
India
Edgbaston
2022
7 wickets
371
India
Headingley
2025
5 wickets
362
Australia
Headingley
2019
1 wicket
Their aggressive approach under Ben Stokes and Brendon McCullum has redefined fourth-innings cricket, consistently showing they won't be overawed by scoreboard pressure.
Deciding Factors On Day 4
For India to Win:
Early breakthroughs - Remove Duckett within first 10 overs
Pressure building - Keep scoring rate under 3.5 per over
Mohammed Siraj's form - Continue momentum from Crawley dismissal
For England to Win:
Duckett's Contribution - Build substantial stand with Root/Brook
Aggressive approach - Maintain Bazball philosophy under pressure
Experience factor - Leverage Joe Root's chase expertise
The Verdict
The history of Oval tilts the situation strongly in favour of India, but England's recent mastery in chase make them genuinely unpredictable.
While India hold the edge given traditional numbers and the history of the venue, England's Bazball revolution has repeatedly defied conventional wisdom.
The stage is all set for a memorable curtain drop to what has been an enthralling series.