CSK vs PBKS Match Prediction: Who Will Win Today’s IPL Match?



CSK vs PBKS, IPL 2025: Dream11 Predictions For Match 49 [Source: AP Photos]CSK vs PBKS, IPL 2025: Dream11 Predictions For Match 49 [Source: AP Photos]

The 49th match of IPL 2025 between Chennai Super Kings and Punjab Kings at MA Chidambaram Stadium sets up an intriguing contest between two teams with contrasting fortunes. CSK, struggling with just 2 wins from 9 matches, will face PBKS who have impressed with 5 wins in their 9 games. The home team boasts powerful middle-order batting led by Shivam Dube and a balanced bowling attack spearheaded by Noor Ahmad, while PBKS counters with captain Shreyas Iyer's consistent batting and Arshdeep Singh's clinical death bowling. MA Chidambaram Stadium will host this encounter on April 30 at 7:30 PM IST.

CSK vs PBKS Toss Prediction

Analysis of MA Chidambaram Stadium's recent history reveals that teams batting second have won 3 out of 5 matches (60%) in IPL 2025, contrary to historical patterns at this venue. While first innings scores (158.20 on average) have been higher than second innings scores (144.80), teams chasing have managed to adjust to the conditions and overcome the scoring differential. The pitch does show signs of slowing down, with death overs in the second innings (36.00 runs) scoring lower than in first innings (40.80 runs). However, teams have been successful in pacing their chase through strong middle-overs performance. Given these trends, winning the toss and fielding first appears to be the strategically favoured choice at Chepauk this season.

CSK vs PBKS Predicted Score Today

Innings
Predicted Score
Win Probability If Achieved
1st Innings165-175CSK 40%, PBKS 60%
2nd Innings155-16562% win probability for chasing team

CSK vs PBKS Predicted Top Performers

Chennai Super Kings

Player
Role
Form
Shivam DubeBatsman⬆️
Noor AhmadBowler⬆️
Ravindra JadejaAll-rounder⬆️

Punjab Kings

Player
Role
Form
Priyansh AryaBatsman⬆️
Arshdeep SinghBowler⬆️
Marco JansenAll-rounder⬆️

CSK vs PBKS Momentum Shifters

Factor
Threshold
Statistical Impact
CSK's Middle Overs Performance70+ runs at 8.5+ RPO in overs 7-16+22% win probability for CSK
PBKS's Powerplay Bowling3+ wickets with economy under 8.0 in first 6 overs+26% win probability for PBKS
CSK's Spin Dominance5+ wickets from Jadeja and Noor Ahmad combined+28% win probability for CSK
PBKS's Priyansh Arya Factor50+ runs at 180+ strike rate+24% win probability for PBKS
CSK's MS Dhoni Impact25+ runs at 150+ strike rate in death overs+20% win probability for CSK
PBKS's Middle Overs BattingRun rate above 9.0 in overs 7-16+25% win probability for PBKS

CSK vs PBKS Win Probability

CSK vs PBKS, IPL 2025: Win Probability [Source: OneCricket]CSK vs PBKS, IPL 2025: Win Probability [Source: OneCricket]

CSK vs PBKS OneCricket's Predicted Winner

Chennai Super Kings to win despite their poor form this season. While PBKS has impressed with 5 wins from 9 matches and boasts an explosive batting lineup led by Priyansh Arya, CSK's knowledge of home conditions at Chepauk gives them an edge in this crucial encounter. Though teams batting second have surprisingly won 60% of matches at this venue in IPL 2025, CSK's experienced spin duo of Noor Ahmad and Ravindra Jadeja should exploit the pitch conditions effectively regardless of innings. MS Dhoni's finishing prowess combined with Shivam Dube's middle-over dominance makes CSK dangerous even with their poor season record. The match will likely be closely contested, with CSK's desperation for points potentially driving them to a much-needed victory in front of their home crowd.