RR vs MI Match Prediction: Who Will Win Today’s IPL Match?



RR vs MI, IPL 2025: Win Prediction for Match 50 [Source: AP Photos]RR vs MI, IPL 2025: Win Prediction for Match 50 [Source: AP Photos]

The 50th match of IPL 2025 between Rajasthan Royals and Mumbai Indians at Sawai Mansingh Stadium presents a fascinating encounter between two teams with contrasting momentum. RR, enjoying a strong campaign with 7 wins from 10 matches, will face MI who have struggled with just 4 wins in their 10 games. The home team features outstanding batting performances from Yashasvi Jaiswal and the explosive Vaibhav Suryavanshi, complemented by a diverse bowling attack led by Jofra Archer, while MI counters with tournament's leading run-scorer Suryakumar Yadav and a balanced bowling unit featuring Trent Boult. Sawai Mansingh Stadium will host this encounter on May 1 at 7:30 PM IST.

RR vs MI Toss Prediction

Analysis of Sawai Mansingh Stadium's recent history reveals that teams batting second have won 2 out of 3 matches (67%) in IPL 2025, challenging the venue's historical batting-first advantage. First innings scores have been nearly matched by second innings scores, indicating the pitch's consistently batting-friendly nature throughout the match. 

The data suggests that the surface doesn't deteriorate significantly as matches progress, allowing teams chasing to successfully hunt down totals. The high-scoring nature of both innings indicates excellent batting conditions throughout the full 40 overs. Given these trends, winning the toss and fielding first appears to be the strategically favored choice at the Sawai Mansingh Stadium this season, with teams backing their ability to successfully chase targets.

RR vs MI Predicted Score Today

Innings
Predicted Score
Win Probability If Achieved
1st Innings185-195RR 40%, MI 60%
2nd Innings190-20065% win probability for chasing team

RR vs MI Predicted Top Performers

Rajasthan Royals

Player
Role
Form
Yashasvi JaiswalBatsman⬆️
Jofra ArcherBowler⬆️
Riyan ParagAll-rounder⬆️

Mumbai Indians

Player
Role
Form
Suryakumar YadavBatsman⬆️
Trent BoultBowler⬆️
Hardik PandyaAll-rounder↔️

RR vs MI Momentum Shifters

Factor
Threshold
Statistical Impact
RR's Powerplay Performance60+ runs with 0-1 wickets lost in first 6 overs+24% win probability for RR
MI's Surya Kumar Factor50+ runs at 160+ strike rate+28% win probability for MI
RR's Spin Bowling in Middle OversEconomy under 8.0 in overs 7-16+22% win probability for RR
MI's Middle Overs BattingRun rate above 10.0 in overs 7-16+25% win probability for MI
RR's Vaibhav Suryavanshi Factor40+ runs at 180+ strike rate+26% win probability for RR
MI's Death Batting50+ runs in overs 16-20+23% win probability for MI

RR vs MI Win Probability

RR vs MI, IPL 2025: Win Probability for Match 50 [Source: OneCricket]RR vs MI, IPL 2025: Win Probability for Match 50 [Source: OneCricket]

RR vs MI OneCricket's Predicted Winner

Rajasthan Royals to win, but it promises to be a much closer contest than their respective positions on the points table might suggest. The Sawai Mansingh Stadium has emerged as a batting paradise in IPL 2025, with teams successfully chasing targets in 67% of matches and nearly identical scoring patterns in both innings (187 in first innings vs 188 in second). This batting-friendly nature could play into the hands of MI's powerful lineup led by Suryakumar Yadav, the tournament's leading run-scorer.

RR's slight edge comes from their superior overall form and the explosive recent performance of Vaibhav Suryavanshi, who scored a century in their previous match. Despite the absence of Sanju Samson, RR's batting depth with Jaiswal, Parag, and Hetmyer gives them multiple match-winners. The team that handles the middle overs (7-16) better will likely emerge victorious, as this phase has proven critical at this venue.

The match is expected to be high-scoring with both teams capable of posting or chasing 190+ totals. While RR remains marginally favored due to their consistency throughout the tournament, MI's recent improvement in form and match-winning potential of Suryakumar Yadav makes this a potential thriller that could go down to the wire.