MI vs LSG, IPL 2025: Who Will Win [Source: AP Photos]
The 45th match of IPL 2025 between Mumbai Indians and Lucknow Super Giants at Wankhede Stadium promises an exciting contest between two teams with contrasting recent performances. MI, with their powerful batting lineup led by Surya Kumar Yadav and Hardik Pandya, will face LSG's balanced attack featuring Nicholas Pooran's explosive batting and Shardul Thakur's wicket-taking ability. Wankhede Stadium, known for its batting-friendly conditions and balanced results in IPL 2025, will host this crucial encounter on April 27 at 3:30 PM IST.
MI vs LSG Toss Prediction
Analysis of Wankhede Stadium's recent history shows a balanced trend in IPL 2025, with teams batting second having three of the four games (75-25 win ratio). Unlike many other venues, Wankhede has maintained consistent batting conditions throughout matches, with nearly identical average scores in both innings. This unique characteristic suggests captains might base their decision more on team strengths rather than a clear advantage either way. Given both teams' strengths, we could see a preference for batting first to utilize MI's top-order power or LSG's middle-order muscle.
MI vs LSG Predicted Score Today
Innings
Predicted Score
Win Probability If Achieved
1st Innings
175-185
MI 55%, LSG 45%
2nd Innings
170-180
48% win probability for chasing team
MI vs LSG Predicted Top Performers
Mumbai Indians
Player
Role
Form
Suryakumar Yadav
Batsman
⬆️
Hardik Pandya
All-rounder
⬆️
Jasprit Bumrah
Bowler
⬆️
Lucknow Super Giants
Player
Role
Form
Nicholas Pooran
Batsman
⬆️
Mitchell Marsh
Batsman
⬆️
Shardul Thakur
Bowler
⬆️
MI vs LSG Momentum Shifters
Factor
Threshold
Statistical Impact
MI's Death Overs Batting
50+ runs at 11.5+ RPO in overs 16-19
+28% win probability for MI
LSG's Powerplay Performance
55+ runs with 1 or fewer wickets in first 6 overs
+25% win probability for LSG
MI's Boundary Percentage
65%+ of runs scored in boundaries
+27% win probability for MI
LSG's Middle-Order Strike Rotation
80+ runs at 150+ strike rate in overs 7-15
+24% win probability for LSG
MI's 4th/7th/15th/19th Over Bowling
2+ wickets in these key wicket-taking overs
+30% win probability for MI
LSG's Six-Hitting Ability
9+ sixes in the innings
+26% win probability for LSG
MI vs LSG Win Probability
LSG vs MI, IPL 2025: Win Probability For Match 45 [Source: OneCricket]
MI vs LSG OneCricket's Predicted Winner
Mumbai Indians to win, leveraging their home advantage and superior batting depth. The statistical analysis favours MI at Wankhede Stadium with their powerful batting lineup and batsmen who thrive on the true bounce and pace of this surface. MI's batting strength is particularly suited to this venue.
Suryakumar Yadav's exceptional form combined with Hardik Pandya's all-round contributions provides MI with match-winners throughout their lineup. While LSG possess explosive batters like Nicholas Pooran and Mitchell Marsh who can change the game quickly, MI's death bowling specialists like Jasprit Bumrah appear better equipped to handle the typically high-scoring conditions at Wankhede.
The match could hinge on the middle overs battle, where most wickets have fallen at Wankhede this season. If LSG can navigate this phase successfully and utilize their strong bowling attack led by Shardul Thakur, they could certainly challenge the home team. However, MI's recent batting firepower and historical comfort at Wankhede make them slight favorites in what promises to be a high-scoring encounter.