GT vs PBKS Match Prediction: Who Will Win Today’s IPL Match?

Probuddha Bhattacharjee

Rashid Khan and Arshdeep Singh [Source: @PunjabKingsIPL, @gujarat_titans/x.com]Rashid Khan and Arshdeep Singh [Source: @PunjabKingsIPL, @gujarat_titans/x.com]

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It's time for an exciting clash in IPL 2025 as Gujarat Titans (GT) take on Punjab Kings (PBKS) at the Narendra Modi Stadium. Both teams are looking to make their mark in their opening game of the tournament.

Shubman Gill and Shreyas Iyer are the leaders of the two teams and both of them will be looking to take their team to the final lap in the tournament. The two units are ready to display their skills in the tournament and reach the final lap.

How Will The Narendra Modi Stadium Pitch Behave In IPL 2025?

The pitch at Narendra Modi Stadium has shown balanced conditions in recent matches. Teams have averaged 185 runs in the first innings and 169 runs in the second innings. Interestingly, teams batting first have won 47% of matches, suggesting a slight advantage to chasing at this venue. However, the average winning total looks to be around 200 runs, this suggest scoring high while batting first is important to win the game. 

GT vs PBKS Toss Prediction

The toss winner is likely to choose to bowl first, with historical data showing that only 12% of teams elect to bat first after winning the toss at this venue. Notably, the toss doesn't significantly impact the final result, with toss winners going on to win only 35% of matches played here.

GT vs PBKS Predicted Score Today

Innings
Predicted Score
Win Probability If Achieved
1st innings149-169GT: 50%, PBKS: 50%
2nd innings136-156Dependent on match situation

GT vs PBKS Predicted Top Performers

Gujarat Titans

Player
Role
Rashid KhanAll-rounder
Shubman GillBatter
Kagiso RabadaBowler

Punjab Kings

Player
Roles
Shreyas IyerBatter
Marcus StoinisAll-rounder
Arshdeep SinghBowler

GT vs PBKS Momentum Changers

Factor
Threshold
Impact on Win Probability
Powerplay Score>60+15% win probability for batting team
Early Wickets (first 6 overs)>=3+20% win probability for bowling team
Big Over in Death (16-20)>=20 runs+12% win probability for batting team
Sweet Spot Score (1st innings)186-20665% win probability for team batting first

GT vs PBKS Predicted Game Changers

Player
Team
Key Strength
Impact
Shahrukh KhanGTFinishing⭐⭐⭐
Sai SudharsanGTTop order batting⭐⭐⭐
Glenn MaxwellPBKSPower hitting and bowling
⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Prabhsimran SinghPBKSPowerplay batting
⭐⭐⭐⭐

GT vs PBKS Phase-Based Advantages

The key phase-wise battles that might be important in this game are:

  • Death overs show the highest run rate (9.65) with a wicket rate of 10.31
  • Middle overs have a run rate of 8.67 with a wicket rate of 4.81
  • Powerplay has the lowest run rate (7.73) with a wicket rate of 5.35

GT vs PBKS Win Probability

GT vs PBKS Win Probability [Source: OneCricket]GT vs PBKS Win Probability [Source: OneCricket]

GT vs PBKS Predicted Winner

Punjab Kings (PBKS) are predicted to emerge victorious in what promises to be a closely contested match at the Narendra Modi Stadium. The advantage could come from their home conditions, though the match appears very evenly balanced based on all metrics analyzed.

With the toss winner likely to bowl first and a target in the range of 149-169 being competitive but below the "sweet spot" range of 186-206, this match could come down to which team better executes their skills in the crucial moments, particularly in the high-scoring death overs.