MS Dhoni and Pat Cummins in IPL 2025 [Source: AP Photos]
With both Chennai Super Kings and Sunrisers Hyderabad anchored at the bottom of the table with just 4 points each from 8 matches, Match 43 at Chepauk is effectively an elimination game. Both teams must navigate nearly impossible paths to reach the playoffs.
The Points Equation
The fourth spot would typically require around 16 points:
- Both teams can reach maximum 16 points (current 4 points + 12 points from winning all 6 remaining matches)
- Negative NRRs (-1.392 for CSK, -1.361 for SRH) make qualifying on tiebreaks difficult
- The loser of Match 43 will be virtually eliminated
CSK's Qualification Pathway
For Chennai to remain in playoff contention:
- Win all remaining 6 matches to reach 16 points
- Beat SRH by 25+ runs (or chase with 3+ overs to spare) to significantly boost NRR
Require specific outcomes:
- Punjab Kings must lose at least 3 of their 6 remaining games
- Mumbai Indians and Lucknow Super Giants must lose at least 3 of 5
- Kolkata Knight Riders needs to lose 3 more matches
CSK's critical games beyond Match 43 include Punjab Kings and Rajasthan Royals - both direct competitors they must defeat convincingly.
SRH's Road to Playoffs
Sunrisers face an equally challenging scenario:
- Win all remaining 6 matches to reach 16 points
- Defeat CSK at Chepauk by a significant margin to repair their NRR
External requirements:
- Delhi Capitals must lose at least 3 of their remaining matches
- One of the top 3 teams must collapse dramatically
- KKR must lose against them in their direct encounter (Match 60)
SRH's fixture against KKR becomes particularly crucial as it offers double benefits - gaining points while denying a competitor.
CSK vs SRH, IPL 2025: Qualification Pathways [Source: OneCricket]
Match 43: Strategic Imperatives
For CSK:
- Target SRH's struggling middle order with quality spin
- Defend home advantage at Chepauk's turning track
- Post totals of 180+ to boost NRR significantly
For SRH:
- Leverage their batting firepower (Klaasen, Head, Abhishek)
- Aim for at least a 30-run victory to repair NRR damage
- Contain CSK's in-form batsmen Shivam Dube and Rachin Ravindra
The Realistic Assessment
While mathematically alive, both teams face near-impossible paths. The winner of Match 43 keeps flickering hopes alive but still needs a miracle combination of perfect results and significant external help. The clash represents not just two points but the last realistic chance to mount an improbable comeback in IPL 2025.
Whoever prevails will still require five more consecutive wins against top opposition - highlighting the critical importance of this do-or-die encounter at Chepauk.