RR vs CSK Match Prediction: Who Will Win Today’s IPL Match?



RR vs CSK, IPL 2025: Winner Prediction for Match 9 [Source: iplt20.com]RR vs CSK, IPL 2025: Winner Prediction for Match 9 [Source: iplt20.com]

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The IPL 2025 season continues with an exciting encounter as Rajasthan Royals (RR) take on Chennai Super Kings (CSK) at the Barsapara Cricket Stadium in Guwahati. Both teams arrive with formidable lineups, setting the stage for a tactical battle at a venue with distinctive characteristics.

How Will The Barsapara Cricket Stadium Pitch Behave In IPL 2025?

The Barsapara Cricket Stadium has historically favoured teams batting first, with data from recent seasons showing that 66.67% of matches at this venue have been won by teams setting a target. First-innings totals at the stadium average 174 runs, while teams chasing manage approximately 153 runs.

What makes this venue particularly intriguing is its phase-wise scoring patterns. Our analysis reveals that death overs yield the highest scoring rate at 9.43 runs per over, followed by the powerplay at 7.73 runs per over, with the middle overs being slightly more contained at 7.32 runs per over. This creates a unique dynamic where strong finishers and powerplay specialists gain extra value at this ground.

RR vs CSK Toss Prediction

Historical data from IPL 2023-2025 indicates that captains winning the toss at Barsapara Cricket Stadium have predominantly chosen to bat first, with approximately 70% making this choice. This preference reflects teams' recognition of the venue's first-innings advantage.

Comprehensive venue analysis confirms that teams batting first have won nearly 67% of matches at this stadium, a trend that has remained consistent in recent seasons. Interestingly, there's no clear correlation between winning the toss and winning the match at this venue, suggesting that match execution and team strength are far more decisive than the coin flip.

RR vs CSK Predicted Score Today

Innings
Predicted Score
Win Probability If Achieved
1st Innings155-175RR 65%, CSK 35%
2nd Innings135-15530% win probability for chasing team

RR vs CSK Predicted Top Performers

Rajasthan Royals

Players
Role
Form
Yashasvi JaiswalBatter⬇️
Dhruv Jurel
Batter
⬆️
Wanindu HasarangaAll-rounder
-

Chennai Super Kings

Players
Role
Form
Ruturaj GaikwadBatter-
Rachin RavindraBatter⬆️
Noor AhmadBowler⬆️

RR vs CSK Momentum Shifters

Factor
Threshold
Statistical Impact
Powerplay Wickets≥3 in first 6 overs+75% win probability for bowling team
Middle Overs Run Rate>8.5 runs per over+60% win probability for batting team
Death Overs Economy<9.0 runs per over+70% win probability for bowling team
First Innings Total>180 runs80% win probability for team batting first

RR vs CSK Win Probability

RR vs CSK, Win Prediction Meter [Source: OneCricket]RR vs CSK, Win Prediction Meter [Source: OneCricket]

RR vs CSK OneCricket's Predicted Winner

Rajasthan Royals hold a 55% win probability over CSK (45%) based on in-depth analysis of Barsapara Cricket Stadium performance metrics. RR's exceptional batting form in the powerplay (9.01 run rate) gives them a distinct advantage at this venue where strong starts are crucial. 

While CSK boasts the experienced Ruturaj Gaikwad, their middle-order struggles, particularly with Ravindra Jadeja's declining form, may prove costly. Additionally, RR's familiarity with the venue (having played here previously) gives them a tactical edge in a match where batting first significantly increases winning chances.