PBKS vs CSK Match Prediction: Who Will Win Today’s IPL Match?



PBKS vs CSK, IPL 2025: Winner Prediction for Match 22 [Source: iplt20.com]PBKS vs CSK, IPL 2025: Winner Prediction for Match 22 [Source: iplt20.com]

The clash between Punjab Kings and Chennai Super Kings at the Maharaja Yadavindra Cricket Stadium in Mohali promises to be a high-octane encounter featuring some of the IPL's elite performers. With Punjab's fortress historically producing batting-friendly conditions and both teams boasting powerful lineups, fans can expect an entertaining battle where key player matchups could prove decisive.

PBKS vs CSK Toss Prediction

Comprehensive venue analysis reveals that the Maharaja Yadavindra Cricket Stadium has generally favored the team batting second. Data from matches played at this venue shows that chasing teams have had more success, with the pitch offering better scoring opportunities in the second innings. Teams winning the toss are likely to choose to field first to leverage these conditions, especially given the consistent scoring trends where run rates increase significantly during death overs (10.37 runs per over compared to 7.26 in powerplay).

PBKS vs CSK Predicted Score Today

Innings
Predicted Score
Win Probability If Achieved
1st Innings175-190PBKS 64%, CSK 36%
2nd Innings185-20058% win probability for chasing team

PBKS vs CSK Predicted Top Performers

Punjab Kings

Player
Role
Form
Shreyas IyerBatter⬆️
Nehal Wadhera
Batter⬆️
Arshdeep Singh
All-rounder⬆️

Chennai Super Kings

Player
Role
Form
Ruturaj Gaikwad
Batter⬇️
Ravindra Jadeja
All-rounder↔️
Noor Ahmad
Bowler⬆️

PBKS vs CSK Momentum Shifters

Factor
Threshold
Statistical Impact
Shreyas Iyer PerformanceSR >180 for 30+ runs
+35% win probability for PBKS
Powerplay Performance>55 runs without loss+28% win probability for batting team
Arshdeep Singh's Death OversEconomy rate <.80+24% win probability for PBKS
Middle Overs Run Rate
>8.50 runs per over+22% win probability for batting team
Ravindra Jadeja's Bowling
Economy rate <7.5 with 2+ wickets+18% win probability for CSK

PBKS vs CSK Win Probability

PBKS vs CSK, IPL 2025: Win Probability [Source: OneCricket]PBKS vs CSK, IPL 2025: Win Probability [Source: OneCricket]

PBKS vs CSK OneCricket's Predicted Winner

Punjab Kings hold a substantial edge over Chennai Super Kings based on CSK's dismal run in the tournament so far. PBKS's batting lineup, particularly Shreyas Iyer with an explosive strike rate of 193.90 and Nehal Wadhera scoring at 156.72, gives them a significant advantage at their home ground.

The match will likely be determined by how well CSK can contain PBKS's explosive batting during the powerplay and death overs. If CSK's star bowler Noor Ahmad (10 wickets in the tournament so far) can work his magic, they could stage an unlikely upset. However, Punjab's familiarity with the conditions and the outstanding form of Shreyas Iyer (159 runs) and Arshdeep Singh (6 wickets) make them clear favorites.

CSK will rely heavily on Ruturaj Gaikwad to find his form and Ravindra Jadeja to deliver with both bat and ball. The struggles of CSK's bowling attack, particularly in the death overs where the Mohali stadium tends to see high scoring (run rate of 10.37), could be their biggest challenge in this contest.

In what promises to be an exciting battle, Punjab Kings' batting firepower and home advantage should prove decisive against a struggling Chennai Super Kings side desperately seeking to turn their campaign around.