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MI's IPL 2025 Squad Analysis: Will The Unmatched Legacy Return Under Hardik Pandya?



Mumbai Indians team in IPL 2024 [Source: iplt20.com]Mumbai Indians team in IPL 2024 [Source: iplt20.com]

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When you talk of consistency and big match temperament in IPL, the name Mumbai Indians automatically pops in the mind of the fans. Five title wins, bold cricketing style and scripting dramatic turn arounds have been the legacy of the franchise.Spin reinforcement

As they start the IPL 2025 with the sixth title as their target, we take a data driven deep dive into the MI squad for the tournament. Before moving into the analysis let us take a look at the Mumbai Indians squad for IPL 2025. 

MI IPL 2025 Full Squad

Batters: Rohit Sharma, Suryakumar Yadav, Bevon Jacobs, Robin Minz, Naman Dhir, Ryan Rickelton, Krishnan Shrijith
All-rounders: Hardik Pandya, Raj Bawa, Corbin Bosch, Will Jacks, Mitchell Santner, Tilak Varma
Bowlers: Jasprit Bumrah, Ashwani Kumar, Trent Boult, Deepak Chahar, Mujeeb ur Rahman, Vignesh Puthur, Satyanarayan Raju, Karn Sharma, Arjun Tendulkar, Reece Topley

Quadrant Chart Of MI's Phase Wise Performance [Source: OneCricket]Quadrant Chart Of MI's Phase Wise Performance [Source: OneCricket]

MI IPL 2025 Squad Analysis: Definition of Metrics Used

Batting Impact Index (BII): A composite metric measuring batting effectiveness by combining strike rate (40%), average (35%), balls per boundary (15%), and strike rotation (10%), normalized to a 0-100 scale.

Bowling Effectiveness Index (BEI): A comprehensive bowling metric that weights economy rate (40%), balls per wicket (35%), balls per boundary (15%), and dot ball percentage (10%), normalized to a 0-100 scale.

Player Value Index (PVI): An overall player rating that combines BII and BEI according to a player's batting and bowling contributions, weighted by the proportion of balls faced versus balls bowled.

To keep the data relevancy we have considered datas from IPL 2023 and 2024.

Strengths Of MI For IPL 2025

1. Accelerators In The Middle Overs

Players
Middle Overs SR
Boundary %
Strike Rotation Efficiency
Suryakumar Yadav140.4027.3%68.4%
Tilak Varma141.6025.1%71.2%
Hardik Pandya131.5026.8%64.5%

Inference: The boundary percentage here reveals the number of balls hit for boundary by the respective batters. What this data tells us is that Mumbai Indians one of the biggest strengths will be their middle-order batting. The fact they have a left-handed batter in the mix adds to the flexibility of the team.

2. New Ball Strike Force

Player
Powerplay Wickets
Economy
Dot Ball %
Jasprit Bumrah1.24 per match6.3248.3%
Trent Boult1.17 per match7.1446.7%
Deepak Chahar1.13 per match7.4342.1%

Inference: The presence of Jasprit Bumrah, Trent Boult and Deepak Chahar gives a solid outlook to the new ball attack of the Mumbai Indians. The trio can lay the foundation of many wins for Mumbai Indians during IPL 2025. 

3. Multi-Dimensional All-Rounders

Players
Primary Skill
Secondary Phase
Tactical Value
Hardik PandyaFinisher BatterMiddle overs bowlingMatch-up flexibility
Mitchell SantnerMiddle overs bowlingMiddle overs battingLeft-hand variation
Will JacksPowerplay battingMiddle overs batting360° scoring range

Inference: The all-rounders who will most probably be in the playing XI of the Mumbai Indians provide an all-round coverage to the team. The all-rounders can step up during the different stages of the game. 

Hardik Pandya [Source: iplt20.com]Hardik Pandya [Source: iplt20.com]

Weaknesses Of MI For IPL 2025

1. IPL Inexperience Of Wicketkeepers

Players
IPL Matches
Projected Contribution
Robin Minz0 MatchesHigh-risk, High-reward
Ryan Rickelton0 MatchesProven T20 Opener but Untested
Krishnan Shrijith0 MatchesDeveloping Player

Inference: The Mumbai Indians have trusted some untested players in IPL as their wicketkeeping options. As they need to go in with wicketkeeping option in every match of the tournament, the inexperience of the players at this stage, this might be a weakness for the team.

 Heat map win percentage based on powerplay performance vs. spin resources [Source: OneCricket] Heat map win percentage based on powerplay performance vs. spin resources [Source: OneCricket]

Image - The image defines the win% of Mumbai Indians based on two metrics - the Powerplay performance and the spin bowlers quality.

2. Spin Depth Vulnerability

Condition
Projected Performance
Impact on Win %
Turning TracksBelow average-14.2%
Slow SurfacesAverage-7.8%
Defensive Assigments
Below average-11.3%

Inference: Mumbai Indians have Mujeeb ur Rahman and Mitchell Santner as their prime spinners. The Indian backup looks a bit weak. So, with both spin options being overseas players, Mumbai Indians might struggle where the lethality of there pace bowling is neutralised by conditions or matchups. 

Opportunities & Threats For MI In IPL 2025

1. Tactical Deployment Flexibility

Match Situation
Personnel Option
Strategic Advantage
High-score defencePace-heavy attack+12.3% win probability
Batting Friendly PitchAll-rounder emphasis+8.7% run rate potential
Spin-friendly conditionsResource limitation-15.2% win probability

Inference: MI's squad construction creates distinct matchup advantages in pace-friendly conditions while introducing risks in spin-dominant scenarios, suggesting a clear tactical imperative to maximise strengths while mitigating exposures.

2. Team Balance Architecture

Squad Component
Composition
Tournament Average
Top-order anchors18%24%
Middle-order accelerators32%22%
Finishing specialists14%18%
Pace options26%19%
Spin resources10%17%

Inference: The figures show that MI have sacrificed the top order stability which has been the prime target for squad building for many teams. Also, we can see that they have sacrificed to gain leverage in the middle order batting and pace bowling departments. 

Comparison of Bumrah With Other Bowlers In Different Phases Of IPL [Source: OneCricket]Comparison of Bumrah With Other Bowlers In Different Phases Of IPL [Source: OneCricket]

Image - Elite bowlers refer to the top 10 bowlers in the history of the league.

Jasprit Bumrah in IPL 2024 [ Source: iplt20.com]Jasprit Bumrah in IPL 2024 [ Source: iplt20.com]

X-Factor Player: Jasprit Bumrah

Why Will Jasprit Bumrah Be The X-Factor For Mumbai Indians In IPL 2025?

Phase-Agnostic Dominance - Unlike specialists who excel in specific phases, Bumrah's metrics reveal unprecedented effectiveness across all game situations (93.25 powerplay, 84.86 middle overs, 87.31 death overs), making conventional phase-based strategy obsolete.

Psychological Disruptor - Beyond statistical impact, tracking shows batsmen attempting 41% fewer aggressive shots against Bumrah than against other elite bowlers, fundamentally altering opposition approach.

Team Structure Enabler - Bumrah's unique ability to deliver quality overs in any phase allows MI to structure the remainder of their bowling attack with specialists rather than compromising for balance.

Strategic Overseas Player Selection

MI faces unique considerations when selecting their four overseas players:

Certainties

Trent Boult: Elite powerplay weapon (95.43 rating) who complements rather than duplicates Bumrah's skill set

Mitchell Santner: Primary spin option (76.51 bowling rating) who addresses MI's most significant structural weakness

Ryan Rickelton: Wicketkeeping and opening batting option.

Situational Decisions

Will Jacks vs Corbin Bosch vs Mujeeb Ur Rahman: Batting depth vs bowling insurance policy vs Spin reinforcement

Mumbai Indians Strongest Playing XI for IPL 2025

Rohit Sharma - Opener
Ryan Rickelton ✈️- Opener, wicketkeeper-batter
Suryakumar Yadav - Elite #3 batter (78.45 batting index)
Will Jacks ✈️ - Aggressive middle-order batter (67.38 batting index)
Tilak Varma - Left-handed middle-order batter (71.63 batting index)
Hardik Pandya - Finisher all-rounder (66.93 player value index)
Mitchell Santner ✈️ - Bowling all-rounder (76.51 bowling index)
Jasprit Bumrah - Elite pacer (88.37 bowling index)
Trent Boult ✈️ - Powerplay specialist (95.43 powerplay bowling rating)
Deepak Chahar  - Powerplay bowler (82.61 powerplay bowling rating)
Mujeeb Ur Rahman ✈️ - Spin specialist (65.82 middle overs bowling rating)

Impact Player Option:

When batting first: Naman Dhir (explosive batting option)
When bowling first: Karn Sharma (additional spin option)

Predictions For MI In IPL 2025

Championship Caliber: MI's construction positions them as one of the four teams to be in the playoffs.

Regular Season Projection: 6-7 wins with pronounced home/away performance split based on surface characteristics.

X-Factor: The Bumrah-Boult new ball partnership could establish tournament-record powerplay bowling metrics, potentially creating early advantages that translate to 6-7 comfortable victories.

Fundamental Risk: The wicketkeeping experiment represents the tournament's highest-variance positional gamble, with potential to either unlock unexpected value or undermine the entire team structure.

Final Verdict: The Mumbai Indians look like a side that can at least make it to the playoffs. If they get favourable conditions or one of their key players click in the important matches, Mumbai Indians can make it to the summit clash of the tournament.