LSG vs RCB Match Prediction: Who Will Win Today’s IPL Match?



LSG vs RCB, IPL 2025 Winner Prediction for Match 59 [Source: AP Photos]LSG vs RCB, IPL 2025 Winner Prediction for Match 59 [Source: AP Photos]

The 59th match of IPL 2025 between Lucknow Super Giants and Royal Challengers Bengaluru at Bharat Ratna Shri Atal Bihari Vajpayee Ekana Cricket Stadium features two teams with contrasting recent form. Lucknow Super Giants' batting lineup is led by in-form Nicholas Pooran and Mitchell Marsh, while their bowling attack features Shardul Thakur who has been taking regular wickets.

On the other hand, Royal Challengers Bengaluru rely on the consistent Virat Kohli and Josh Hazlewood's exceptional bowling, with Krunal Pandya providing all-round stability. Lucknow will host this crucial encounter on May 9 at 7:30 PM IST.

LSG vs RCB Toss Prediction

Analysis of the matches played at Ekana Stadium this season shows that the team batting second has won four of the five games played here. The data reveals a higher run rate of 9.12 in the second innings compared to 8.37 in the first innings, and fewer wickets fall when chasing  compared to the first innings.

The pitch seems to play better for batting in the second innings, though it does slow down as the match progresses. Given these trends, winning the toss and bowling first appears to be the tactically sound choice at Lucknow's Ekana Stadium, with chasing teams having a clear statistical advantage.

LSG vs RCB Predicted Score Today

Innings
Predicted Score
Win Probability If Achieved
1st Innings170-180LSG 44%, RCB 56%
2nd Innings180-19080% win probability for team batting second

LSG vs RCB Predicted Top Performers

Lucknow Super Giants

Player
Role
Form
Nicholas PooranWicketkeeper-Batter⬆️
Mitchell MarshAll-rounder⬆️
Shardul ThakurBowler⬆️

Royal Challengers Bengaluru

Player
Role
Form
Virat KohliBatter⬆️
Josh HazlewoodBowler⬆️
Krunal PandyaAll-rounder⬆️

LSG vs RCB Momentum Shifters

Factor
Threshold
Statistical Impact
LSG's Middle Overs BowlingUnder 8.12 economy in overs 7-15+25% win probability for LSG
RCB's Powerplay Performance55+ runs with 0-1 wickets in first 6 overs+22% win probability for RCB
LSG's Nicholas Pooran Impact40+ runs at 150+ strike rate+24% win probability for LSG
RCB's Josh Hazlewood Performance2+ wickets in middle overs+26% win probability for RCB
LSG's Death Over Batting10+ runs per over in overs 16-20+19% win probability for LSG
RCB's Virat Kohli Performance60+ runs at 140+ strike rate+28% win probability for RCB

LSG vs RCB Win Probability

LSG vs RCB, IPL 2025: Win Probability [Source: OneCricket]LSG vs RCB, IPL 2025: Win Probability [Source: OneCricket]

LSG vs RCB OneCricket's Predicted Winner

Royal Challengers Bengaluru to win this contest, leveraging their excellent recent form and balanced team composition. Based on our data analysis, RCB has been more consistent with both bat and ball, making them favorites despite the Ekana Stadium traditionally favoring chasing teams.

The strong batting lineup of RCB led by Virat Kohli, who has already scored 505 runs this season, gives them a significant edge. 

While LSG has quality batters in Nicholas Pooran and Mitchell Marsh, they have been inconsistent as a team. RCB's bowling attack led by Josh Hazlewood and supported by Krunal Pandya should be able to contain LSG's batting lineup, particularly in the crucial middle overs where our analysis shows most wickets tend to fall at this venue.