Andre Russell and Virat Kohli [Source: @RCBTweets, @KKRiders/x.com]
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That time of the year has arrive for the Indian cricket fans. They are all set to witness high quality of cricket in the Indian Premier League involving top class overseas stars and domestic players.
In the first match of IPL 2025 - defending champions, Kolkata Knight Riders will take on the Royal Challengeres Bengaluru at the iconic Eden Gardens in Kolkata, India.
How Will The Eden Gardens Pitch Behave In IPL 2025 Match 1?
If we see the data from the last two years, then we see that the Eden Gardens pitch has consistently favored batting. With an average first innings score of 195 runs, batters can expect good pace and bounce initially, while spinners might find assistance as the match progresses.
KKR vs RCB Toss Prediction
The captain winning the toss will likely choose to field first. Historical data shows teams batting first at Eden Gardens have won 50% of matches in the last two IPL seasons. However, the chances of rain might induce the captain to chase a target,
KKR vs RCB Predicted Score Today
Innings
Predicted Score
Win Probability If Achieved
1st innings
195-205
KKR: 65%, RCB: 55%
2nd innings
170-180
Chasing team: 48%
KKR vs RCB Predicted Top Performers
Royal Challengers Bengaluru
Player
Role
Phil Salt
Batter
Virat Kohli
Batter
Bhuvneshwar Kumar
Bowler
Kolkata Knight Riders
Player
Role
Venkatesh Iyer
Batter
Sunil Narine
All-rounder
Harshit Rana
Bowler
KKR vs RCB Momentum Changers
Factor
Threshold
Impact on Win Probability
First Innings Total
210+ runs
KKR win probability: 78%
Sweet Spot Score
185-195 runs
65% win rate in last two years
Powerplay Run Rate
>9.5 Run Rate (chasing)
72% win rate in last two years
KKR vs RCB Phase-Based Advantages
KKR's middle overs (7-15) bowling economy of 7.8 is significantly better than RCB's 8.6
RCB's death overs (16-20) batting strike rate of 179.4 trumps KKR's 165.20.
The match outcome will likely hinge on two crucial mini-battles:
KKR's spinners vs. RCB's middle order
RCB's top order vs. KKR's new ball attack
Critical threshold: When batting first at Eden Gardens, teams scoring above 200 have won 85% of their matches over the past two seasons. If KKR can post 205+ batting first, their win probability increases to nearly 80% given their bowling attack's quality against RCB's sometimes inconsistent middle order.
Conversely, RCB's strength in the powerplay (average of 57 runs in the first six overs last season) means they could potentially neutralize KKR's advantage by getting off to a blazing start. Last two years data shows RCB's win percentage jumps by 22% when they score 55+ runs in the powerplay.
KKR vs RCB Win Probability
KKR vs RCB Win Probability For IPL 2025 Match 1 [Source: OneCricket]
KKR vs RCB OneCricket's Predicted Winner
Considering the home advantage and exceptional spin bowling options, hosts Kolkata Knight Riders are considered favorites with a 56% win probability to claim victory in the IPL 2025 opener. KKR's formidable spin duo could prove decisive on Eden Gardens' surface that increasingly assists spinners in the middle overs.