GT vs MI, IPL 2025: Winner Prediction for Match 9 [Source: iplt20.com]
The IPL 2025 season continues as Gujarat Titans (GT) prepare to host Mumbai Indians (MI) in what promises to be a high-stakes encounter at the Narendra Modi Stadium. With both teams bringing star-studded lineups to the competition, this match presents an intriguing battle between franchises with compelling strategic considerations at this venue.
How Will The Narendra Modi Stadium Pitch Behave In IPL 2025?
The Narendra Modi Stadium has been a venue where teams batting second hold a slight advantage over the past two years. Recent statistical data from the last two IPL seasons reveals that 75% of matches at this venue have been won by teams chasing a target. First-innings totals at the stadium average 191.50 runs, while teams chasing manage approximately 176 runs.
What's particularly significant about this venue is the phase-wise scoring pattern. The powerplay overs yield a moderate 7.13 runs per over, but scoring accelerates dramatically in the middle overs (9.14 runs/over) and death overs (11.48 runs/over). This creates a unique dynamic where death over specialists become particularly valuable at this ground.
GT vs MI Toss Prediction
Historical data strongly indicates that the captain winning the toss at Narendra Modi Stadium will elect to bowl first, with a substantial 88.24% of captains making this choice. This overwhelming preference for bowling first reflects teams' strategic assessment of the venue's characteristics.
Comprehensive venue analysis shows that teams batting second have won 52.94% of matches at this stadium, though recent data from the last season shows an even stronger trend with 75% of matches won by the chasing team. The correlation between winning the toss and winning the match stands at 35.29%, suggesting that while winning the toss provides an advantage, match execution remains more decisive than the coin flip.
GT vs MI Predicted Score Today
Innings
Predicted Score
Win Probability If Achieved
1st Innings
175-195
GT 45%, MI 55%
2nd Innings
180-200
70% win probability for chasing team
GT vs MI Predicted Top Performers
Gujarat Titans
Player
Role
Form
Shubman Gill
Batter
⬆️
Rashid Khan
All-rounder
⬇️
Jos Buttler
Batter
⬆️
Mumbai Indians
Player
Role
Form
Rohit Sharma
Batter
⬇️
Surykumar Yadav
Batter
⬇️
Trent Boult
Bowler
⬇️
GT vs MI Momentum Shifters
Factor
Threshold
Statistical Impact
Powerplay Score
>45 runs
+66.7% win probability boost for batting team
Early Bowling Success
Taking 2+ wickets in powerplay
+100% win probability for bowling side (first innings)
Death Overs Explosion
Single over yielding 18+ runs
+66.7% win probability shift toward batting team
Optimal First Innings
Total between 186-228
50% win probability for team batting first
GT vs MI Win Probability
GT vs MI: Win probability [Source: OneCricket]
GT vs MI OneCricket's Predicted Winner
MI holds a 60% win probability over GT (40%) based on in-depth analysis of Narendra Modi Stadium performance metrics. MI's superior middle-overs batting aligns perfectly with this venue's most productive scoring phase. GT's reliance on Rashid Khan is undermined by his declining bowling form. MI's post-powerplay acceleration capability gives them the edge in this batting-friendly venue where 75% of recent matches were won by the chasing team.