ENG vs IND | 1st T20I | The Number's game

Probuddha Bhattacharjee

| Jul 6, 2022 1:37 PM

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After an enthralling contest in cricket's longest format, India and England will now take the field against each other in the T20I format. The two teams will play against each other at the Rose Bowl Stadium in Southampton. 


In this article, we try and predict the winner of the match based on statistics.


Toss: In this section, we examine what sort of impact the toss will have on the game. 


Matches

Matches won by team winning toss

Matches won by team losing toss

9

3

6

 

The trend points to the fact that the toss is not a significant factor on the ground. 

What should be the decision for the team winning the toss?

Let us have a look at the trend of the matches on the venue.


Matches

Matches won batting first

Matches won batting second

9

5

4


The difference between the winning margins in the case of batting first and batting second at the venue is very marginal. The team winning the toss might look to opt for the trade they are more comfortable with. 


Nature of the pitch: The stats can give us an idea about how the pitch generally behaves at the venue.


Highest Total

Lowest Total

 Avg. Runs Per Over

 Avg. Runs Per Wicket

248/6

79/10

8.17

25.06


This gives us a general idea that the pitch generally favours batting. 

Records batting first:

Avg. Runs per Over

Avg. Runs per Wicket

24.06

8.42


Record batting second

Avg. Runs per Over

Avg. Runs per Wicket

26.34

7.88


Predicted decision: Keeping all the stats in mind, the team winning the toss might look to bat first in the match.


Expected First Innings Total: Based on the average statistics, the scorecard for the team batting first might look like this.


Overs

Runs

Wickets

20

168

7


Expected Second Innings Total: The second innings scorecard of the match might look like this.

Overs

Runs

Wickets

20

157

6


Result: Based on the statistical history of the match, the team batting first might end up winning the match by a margin of about 10-15 runs. 


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